Digital Disruption: An Interview with Marie Johnson.

Predictable and Unpredictable Disruption

Author Craig Thomler interviewing Marie Johnson. Published in eGovAU. 9 September 2014.

This is the first in a series of interviews as part of Delib Australia’s media partnership with CeBIT in support of the GovInnovate. Conference on 25-27 November, 2014

In this interview, I speak about forms of disruption – unpredictable and predictable.

The unpredictable kind includes real breakthroughs in technology and new and unique emerging business models that no foresight could have predicted.

The predictable kind result from a series of incremental changes over a relatively long time – a ‘long tail’ of disruption based on the evolution of known technologies and business models.

While unpredictable disruption is exactly that – unpredictable and therefore difficult to plan for, the predictable kind gives organisations with the appropriate horizon scanning approaches an opportunity to prepare.

I believe that government hasn’t been paying enough attention to predictable forms of disruption.

Author: Craig Thomler